Durham, NC · Research · Data science · AI products

Rigorous analysis, shipped as real products.

Green Buoy is the studio of Eric Green, Ph.D. — a quantitative scientist who designs research, models data, and builds AI products end to end.

Green Buoy mark
Selected work

One through-line: careful work that ships.

AI assistants, consumer hardware, education tools, sports analytics, and a book — built solo or as co-founder, from research question to shipped product.

Data science in practice

Peer-reviewed methods, applied to real decisions.

Prediction, causal inference, post-stratification, and NLP — the analytical backbone behind the products, published and reproducible.

Predictive modeling

Predicting who will seek care

Developed and validated a model linking self-reported readiness to subsequent healthcare-seeking — turning a simple stated-intent signal into a forward-looking prediction for targeting outreach and forecasting activation.

Green et al. (2022). Translational Behavioral Medicine, 12(1), ibab096.
View paper
Multilevel regression & post-stratification

Reliable estimates from non-representative data

Used MRP to recover trustworthy population- and subgroup-level estimates of vaccine hesitancy from imperfect survey data — the technique that makes survey, panel, and real-world data decision-grade. Published as a reproducible tutorial.

Nivi Research (2020) — reproducible tutorial.
Read the tutorial
Text mining / NLP

Structure from millions of messages

Mined free-text conversations between consumers and a digital health service at scale to surface what people actually ask and which messaging resonates — the NLP foundation for voice-of-customer and conversational-AI analytics.

Green et al. (2019). Gates Open Research, 3, 1475.
View paper
Causal inference

Causal evidence under real-world constraints

Designed a pilot randomized encouragement (instrumental-variable) trial to estimate the causal effect of a digital intervention when only the encouragement to use it can be randomized — the design logic behind real-world effectiveness studies.

Green et al. (2018). Journal of Medical Internet Research, 20(7), e10756.
View paper
Measurement & diagnostic accuracy

Tools that measure what they claim to

Developed, validated, and shortened clinical screening instruments — from a perinatal depression tool that blends Western criteria with local idioms in Kenya, to individual-participant-data meta-analyses showing where PHQ-9 and EPDS scores do, and don’t, estimate true prevalence. The basis for trustworthy outcome measurement at scale.

Selected publications
Green et al. (2018). Developing and validating a perinatal depression screening tool in Kenya. Journal of Affective Disorders, 228.
Levis et al. (2020). Accuracy of the PHQ-2 alone and with the PHQ-9 for detecting major depression. JAMA, 323(22).
Levis et al. (2020). PHQ-9 scores do not accurately estimate depression prevalence — IPD meta-analysis. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 122.
What I do

From study design to deployed software.

Three threads, one practice: teaching rigorous methods, consulting on research and data for pharma and life-sciences, and building AI products that ship.

01

Research design

Causal inference, study design, and real-world evidence — questions framed so the answers hold up.

02

Statistical analysis

Modeling, inference, and analysis you can defend — with transparency and methodological rigor.

03

Data science

Pipelines, applied ML, and decision support that turn messy data into something teams can act on.

04

Insights & data storytelling

Turning rigorous analysis into decisions — clear insights and data storytelling for pharma and life-sciences teams.

05

AI product development

LLM-powered products designed and built end to end — from prototype to a thing real people use.

Eric Green
Eric Green, Ph.D.
About

A quantitative scientist who likes to build.

Associate Professor of the Practice of Global Health · Duke University

Eric Green is a quantitative scientist and educator whose work focuses on how rigorous statistical methods can inform real-world decisions in health and medicine. At Duke he teaches and advises on causal inference, study design, and real-world evidence — including courses on AI in Global Health (GLHLTH 199) and Data Science & Data Visualization with R (GLHLTH 562).

He has also been a startup co-founder and chief science officer in digital health, and his work bridges academia, technology, and applied research — with an emphasis on transparency, rigor, and making complex analytical ideas usable in practice. He is the author of Global Health Research in Practice.

Work with Green Buoy

Have a question worth answering well?

Research design, data science, or an AI product you want to get right. Let's talk about it.

[email protected]
Green Buoy · 3710 Shannon Road #51422 · Durham, NC 27717